El Niño WATCH cancelled; ENSO neutral likely for 2017

El Niño WATCH cancelled; ENSO neutral likely for 2017

Watts Up With That?

From the “now the warmest year on record hopes are dashed” department:

Via Bloomberg:

All eight climate models surveyed by Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology suggest tropical Pacific Ocean temperatures are likely to remain neutral for the second half, it said on its website on Tuesday. That reverses a June 6 report that showed four models predicting temperatures may exceed El Nino thresholds during the second half of 2017.

The bureau reset its outlook to inactive as the chances of El Nino forming this year fade. The U.S. earlier this month said the odds of it emerging between October and December were 36 percent from 46 percent previously predicted. Forecasts during the southern hemisphere’s autumn tend to have lower accuracy and begin to improve from June. El Nino and its La Nina counterpart can roil agriculture markets as farmers worldwide contend with too much or too little rain.

The bureau canceled…

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Status update and sincere thanks

Status update and sincere thanks

Watts Up With That?

Last week, I wrote about facing burnout after running WUWT over 10 years without having any real vacation during that time. I’ll have to say, I’m overwhelmed by the response, the well wishes, and the offers for help.

It’s gratifying to know that I have friends around the world, some vocal regulars, some occasional commenters, and some silent readers. I heard from many people who were first time commenters, and many regulars too. I had suggested that I take a month off, and more than a few said that’s not enough time. Looking back, I think they are right.

I’ve received a kind offer to go to New Zealand, with offers of lodging and I’ll be taking up that offer in July. If there are readers in NZ that would like to meet up, feel free to drop a comment, or use the contact form. I may even be…

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WUWT at 10+ years – I need some help, please

WUWT at 10+ years – I need some help, please

Watts Up With That?

UPDATE 6/14/17: Michael E. Mann just can’t stand this, see below.

Hello everyone,

I feel like many of you are family, you’ve been with me and this endeavor so long. I started in November of 2006, and I’m approaching my 11th year. In all that time, WUWT has been providing a daily service to readers with original research, commentary, and humor where appropriate.

During this time, we’ve witnessed many great things together: Climategate started here in 2009, and the implosion of the Copenhagen conference as a result. The unmasking of the IPCC, showing that many of the “voodoo science” claims against skeptics made by IPCC chairman Pachauri, were based on fake datashockingly bad science, and even grey literature. Now the tables are turned, and he’s out in disgrace. Then there was the time that I proved without a doubt that both Al…

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The wheat from the chaff: philosophy vs self-help

The wheat from the chaff: philosophy vs self-help

Thinking Clearly

There is something cringy about the notion of self-help. Yet blogging in the philosophical rambling genre invariably has a whiff of it. Even more generally, be it the Bible, Seneca, Leo Tolstoy, Viktor Frankl, Daniel Kahneman or Oprah, or in fact, any autobiography, aren’t they all essentially trying to answer the same question, namely how to make the most of our time here?

what is the difference between philosophy and self-help

Where do we draw the line?

Some writers, psychologists and philosophers have been using a quagmire of specialist terminology to warden off any suspicion of belonging to the self-help family. Religion is many things to many people, but it definitely ticks all the self-help boxes. What about picking up a new hobby? Is that a self-help action? What about ringing up a friend? What about going to the gym to get some endorphins? While we usually draw the line at solitary activities, preferably done alone, by overweight…

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